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A modernized new edition of one of the most trusted books on time series analysis. Since publication of the first edition in 1970, Time Series Analysis has served as one of the most influential and prominent works on the subject. This new edition maintains its balanced presentation of the tools for modeling and analyzing time series and also introduces the latest developments that have occurred n the field over the past decade through applications from areas such as business, finance, and engineering.

The Fourth Edition provides a clearly written exploration of the key methods for building, classifying, testing, and analyzing stochastic models for time series as well as their use in five important areas of application: forecasting; determining the transfer function of a system; modeling the effects of intervention events; developing multivariate dynamic models; and designing simple control schemes. Along with these classical uses, modern topics are introduced through the book's new features, which include:

• A new chapter on multivariate time series analysis, including a discussion of the challenge that arise with their modeling and an outline of the necessary analytical tools
• New coverage of forecasting in the design of feedback and feedforward control schemes
• A new chapter on nonlinear and long memory models, which explores additional models for application such as heteroscedastic time series, nonlinear time series models, and models for long memory processes
• Coverage of structural component models for the modeling, forecasting, and seasonal adjustment of time series
• A review of the maximum likelihood estimation for ARMA models with missing values

Numerous illustrations and detailed appendices supplement the book,while extensive references and discussion questions at the end of each chapter facilitate an in-depth understanding of both time-tested and modern concepts. With its focus on practical, rather than heavily mathematical, techniques, Time Series Analysis, Fourth Edition is the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. this book is also an invaluable reference for applied statisticians, engineers, and financial analysts.

• Sales Rank: #173856 in Books
• Published on: 2008-06-30
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.50" h x 1.58" w x 6.40" l, 2.63 pounds
• Binding: Hardcover
• 784 pages

Review
?The book follows faithfully the style of the original edition. The approach is heavily motivated by real world time series, and by developing a complete approach to model building, estimation, forecasting and control.? (Mathematical Reviews, 2009)

"I think the book is very valuable and useful to graduate students in statistics, mathematics, engineering, and the like. Also, it could be of tremendous help to practioners. Even though the book is written in a clear, easy to follow narrative style with plenty of illustrations, one should nevertheless have a sufficient knowledge of graduate level mathematical statistics. By reading and understanding the book one should, in the end, feel very confident in time series and analysis." (MAA Reviews, January 13, 2009)

"I think the book is very valuable and useful to graduate students in statistics, mathematics, engineering, and the like.� Also, it could be of tremendous help to practioners.� Even though the book is written in a clear, easy to follow narrative style with plenty of illustrations, one should nevertheless have a sufficient knowledge of graduate level mathematical statistics.� By reading and understanding the book one should, in the end, feel very confident in time series and analysis." (MAA Reviews, January 2009)

From the Publisher
This is a complete revision of a classic, seminal, and authoritative text that has been the model for most books on the topic written since 1970. It explores the building of stochastic (statistical) models for time series and their use in important areas of application --forecasting, model specification, estimation, and checking, transfer function modeling of dynamic relationships, modeling the effects of intervention events, and process control.

From the Back Cover
A modernized new edition of one of the most trusted books on time series analysis. Since publication of the first edition in 1970, Time Series Analysis has served as one of the most influential and prominent works on the subject. This new edition maintains its balanced presentation of the tools for modeling and analyzing time series and also introduces the latest developments that have occurred n the field over the past decade through applications from areas such as business, finance, and engineering.

The Fourth Edition provides a clearly written exploration of the key methods for building, classifying, testing, and analyzing stochastic models for time series as well as their use in five important areas of application: forecasting; determining the transfer function of a system; modeling the effects of intervention events; developing multivariate dynamic models; and designing simple control schemes. Along with these classical uses, modern topics are introduced through the book's new features, which include:

• A new chapter on multivariate time series analysis, including a discussion of the challenge that arise with their modeling and an outline of the necessary analytical tools
• New coverage of forecasting in the design of feedback and feedforward control schemes
• A new chapter on nonlinear and long memory models, which explores additional models for application such as heteroscedastic time series, nonlinear time series models, and models for long memory processes
• Coverage of structural component models for the modeling, forecasting, and seasonal adjustment of time series
• A review of the maximum likelihood estimation for ARMA models with missing values

Numerous illustrations and detailed appendices supplement the book,while extensive references and discussion questions at the end of each chapter facilitate an in-depth understanding of both time-tested and modern concepts. With its focus on practical, rather than heavily mathematical, techniques, time Series Analysis, Fourth Edition is the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. this book is also an invaluable reference for applied statisticians, engineers, and financial analysts.

Most helpful customer reviews

67 of 69 people found the following review helpful.
revision of a classic on time series modeling
By Michael R. Chernick
In the early 1970s I was working on practical forecasting methods to apply to the U.S. Army supply depot workloads. Exponential smoothing was the commonly used "automatic" technique (once smoothing constants have been determined) that had great advantages over the informal methods used by the Army. Then someone told me that Box-Jenkins techniques were more general and powerful. I got a copy of the first edition published in 1970 and found that I could read and understand it even though I had little statistical training. I had a bachelors degree in mathematics. I got to appreciate the book even more when I took a short course from George Box, George Tiao and David Pack based on the book. I began to grasp some of the key ideas of stationary and nonstationary time series and learned about model selection, diagnostic checking and estimation. This started my interest in becoming a statistician and gave me the practical side of time series analysis first. I later specialized in it and got a Ph.D. in statistics.
Gwilym Jenkins died many years prior to this edition and Box's colleague Greogory Reinsel took on the task of helping to revise and update it.

It retains its original flavor. It is an applied book with many practical and illustrative examples. It concentrates on the three stages of time series analysis: modeling building, selection, estimation and diagnostic checking and how to iterate the process toward a good solution. The ARIMA time series models are what are considered. The theory of stationary and nonstationary time series is introduced to motivate interpretation of autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation in the model identification phase. Operator notation is introduced and used throughout the book to simplify equations. For me it helped simplify things and illuminate some concepts. But many readers found it difficult and confusing. the book is very systematic and practical. Many of the examples are real examples from Box's work in the chemical industry and his consulting during his career at the University of Wisconsin and also the consulting experience of Gwilym Jenkins in England.

The publishers and some amazon reviewers say that this edition is a major revision. The second edition published in 1976 was criticized for being essentially a reprint of the first. Although there is a new chapter 12 on intervention analysis and outlier detection it mainly is an expansion of ideas already discussed in the first edition. Theoretical results are kept aside in appendices as in previous editions.

This is not an up-to-date text on the theory of time series. It deals strictly with the time domain approach and does not include recent advances including nonlinear and bilinear models, models with non-Gaussian innovations and bootstrap or other resampling methods.

To get a balanced approach that includes the theory for frequency and time domain approaches the book by Shumway, the latest edition of the Brockwell and Davis text and the latest edition of Fuller's text are appropriate. For a graduate course I taught at UC Santa Barbara in 1981 I used the first edition of Fuller's book. Anderson provides a thorough account of the time domain theory. Excellent texts that specialize in the frequency domain approach are Bloomfield's second edition and the two volume book by Priestley. Brillinger's text is also worthwhile for those interested in spectral theory (frequency domain statistics).

Although there are many things that is text does not cover, it remains the classical text on a rich class of time domain methods that are still very practical. This is a text I bought for reference even though I still have the first edition.

35 of 35 people found the following review helpful.
Mathematical, Theoretical, Practical.
By A Customer
Box-Jenkins is THE definitive, foundational text in time series analysis. Mastery of this volume requires extensive graduate level understanding of mathematical statistics. While difficult even for intermediate statistical practitioners, this text is necessary for any professional who examines time series data and well worth the considerable effort to acquire mastery.

27 of 28 people found the following review helpful.
Disappointed
By Samson
Based on the reviews here I had high hopes for learning the basics of ARIMA from this text. My fundamental beef with the book is not the content, but rather the presentation. I have taught portions of what's in the book for decades in the classroom on an undergraduate level. The author's writing style was such that even in those parts I could barely follow the presentation. I have bought literally hundreds of books from Amazon over the years they've been in business. This will be the first one I return. If you're trying to teach yourself this material, find a better aid. If you're buying this for a live class, don't skip class.

UPDATE: Because of the need to find useful sources for real world work, the search has continued. As a result, a very good resource has been found: Forecating Methods and Applications, Third Edn. by Makridakis. Of all the resources investigated, it presents the clearest explanations out there of the different forecasting methods, while still giving valuable insight. For a deeper look, Forecasting and Time Series: An Applied Approach by Bowerman & O'Connell has also proven useful. An older book, it is clearly written for the practitioner. And if you're using SAS to work through problems of this type: SAS/ETS Software: Applications Guide 1 is helpful.

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One man s search for answers leads him to uncover an age-old conspiracy of silence surrounding the Priestly Blessing. In the Book of Numbers, God taught the Sons of Aaron a three-line blessing to proclaim over His people. At the end of this blessing, God promised, they shall place My name on the children of Israel and I will bless them (Numbers 6:27). Generations of scribes, rabbis, and priests colluded to keep a key part of the Priestly Blessing secret. Centuries of religious agendas and tradition obscured its meaning. Join maverick Bible scholar Nehemia Gordon as he leaves no stone un-turned in search of the truth. The clues take him from the peak of Mount Sinai to the battlefields of the Yom Kippur War. Find out what he discovered on 9/11 and venture with him down into the literal pit of hell.

• Sales Rank: #59655 in Books
• Brand: Brand: Hilkiah Press Inc
• Published on: 2012-07-02
• Binding: Paperback
• 207 pages

Features

• Used Book in Good Condition

Review
...an outstanding book... I was challenged, encouraged, entertained, educated, liberated, and above all blessed. You will be too as Nehemia unleashes the power of the Priestly blessing, shares his personal experiences, and shatters the conspiracy of silence! --Jono Vandor, Truth2U Radio

...a compelling spiritual and emotional journey leading to a greater understanding of the Priestly Blessing. --Cantor Mark Perman, Farmington Valley Jewish Congregation

You will smile, laugh and cry as your heart is extended with a deeper revelation of God. --Nathalie Blackham, Christian Author and Television Host

About the Author
Nehemia Gordon holds a Masters Degree in Biblical Studies and a Bachelors Degree in Archaeology from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. He has worked as a translator on the Dead Sea Scrolls and as a researcher deciphering ancient Hebrew manuscripts. A prominent figure in the Karaite Jewish community, Gordon has written two popular books on the Hebrew origins of Christianity and is active in interfaith dialogue. Gordon speaks at synagogues and churches around the world and leads groups of pilgrims and visitors on tours of biblical sites.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
but also shows the passion and love of the author for the subject
By Amazon Customer
I could not stop reading it...!! Well written but at the same time the content doesn`t miss quality. Logical, based on facts, but also shows the passion and love of the author for the subject. Thanks! Marketa Reedova

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Gordon is an excellent teacher with profond knowledge in Hebrew
By Pierre Henri
Gordon is an excellent teacher with profond knowledge in Hebrew, so he can give the real meaning of The Priestley Blessings.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Liked for its detail
By Amazon Customer
Liked for its detail. But.....all the detail made it a difficult read. It was worth it in my opinion.

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• Sales Rank: #6818082 in Books
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An exquisite tribute to Italy’s most important contemporary model and actress. As a model, Monica Bellucci graced the covers of magazines such as Elle and Esquire before achieving success as an actress whose notable appearances include roles in Bram Stoker’s Dracula, The Matrix Reloaded, The Passion of the Christ, and The Matrix Revolutions. This glamorous volume features 150 of the most exquisite, sensual photographs of Bellucci throughout her twenty-year career taken by the world’s most important photographers, including Peter Lindbergh, Helmut Newton, Fabrizio Ferri, Richard Avedon, and Ellen von Unwerth. Monica Bellucci will appear in the 2010 Disney film The Sorcerer’s Apprentice with Nicolas Cage.

• Sales Rank: #166100 in Books
• Brand: imusti
• Published on: 2010-11-30
• Released on: 2010-11-30
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 13.30" h x 1.10" w x 10.40" l, 4.79 pounds
• Binding: Hardcover
• 240 pages

Features

• Rizzoli

Review

"...244-page masterwork of photographic tributes to the Italian model, actress and not-at-all-unattractive person" ~UrbanDaddy

About the Author
Monica Bellucci achieved early stardom as the cover girl for the 1991 Sports Illustrated swimsuit issue. Since then, she has appeared in countless fashion campaigns as well as in many acclaimed films. Currently, she is the face of Dior Cosmetics.

Giuseppe Tornatore is one of Italy’s most important contemporary film directors best known for Cinema Paradiso, which won the 1989 Academy Award for Best Foreign Film. His latest film, Baarìa, has been critically acclaimed and is a 2010 Academy Award nominee.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Same subject, many views and styles of photography. Gorgeous.
By ColorCodeStudio
It's very cool to see the same subject photographed by so many different photographers. It's a gorgeous survey of her career and versatility as a model.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
I love love love this book
By Sheldon Jackson
I love love love this book!!! Monica Bellucci is one of the most iconic and beautiful women to ever exist. Her body of modeling is diverse, sexy and ranging. This is a photography and modeling book to own and own proudly. If I was in a book store and look thru, I would have paid $100 for with out blinking.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Great great photography and of course one of the most ...
By Erlantz Bilbao Gomez
Great great photography and of course one of the most stunning woman of our time. Seriously the best photographers in the world have photographed her. This book is totally worth it.

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[A794.Ebook] Ebook Download The Complete Guide to Sony's Alpha 7r II (B&W Edition), by Gary L. Friedman

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Gary's Ebooks on the Sony cameras are renown for being the most thorough, detailed, and enjoyable to read. This latest edition goes into even more detail of the features everyone wants to know about: * All the focusing modes explained in an intuitive way * 4K shooting and choosing a bit rate for video * The new phase-detect AF (and where it's blind) * The most popular adapters for legacy glass * S-Log2 in a way that won't make your eyes glaze over * And lots more! (641 pages more, to be exact!) Electronic formats also available from the author's website.

• Sales Rank: #277258 in Books
• Published on: 2016-06-27
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.02" h x 1.43" w x 5.98" l, 2.05 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 646 pages

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7 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent User Manual of the Sony A7RII!
By Harry Briels
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I wonder whether there is a need for such an expensive (+$100) printed full color version?
Anybody who wants to enjoy the A7RII to its full will find a great help in the e-book edition.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Top Notch Book
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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
VERY helpful book for the Sony A7R2
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[H259.Ebook] Ebook Free Toni Morrison: A Critical Companion (Critical Companions to Popular Contemporary Writers), by Missy Kubitschek

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Winner of the Nobel Prize for Literature in 1993, Toni Morrison is among our most distinguished contemporary novelists. Morrison describes herself as a black woman novelist, and all her novels deal with African American characters and communities. Exploring the entire cycle of human life in a spiritual context, her novels are also universal in their depiction of families, especially mothers and their children. From her first novel, The Bluest Eye, to her most recent, Paradise, Toni Morrison has explored the African American experience, and by extension, the human experience. Her characters linger in our minds long after we have finished reading the novel. This is the only book-length study to discuss all of Morrison's novels published to date.

This study analyzes in turn each of Morrison's novels. It also provides the reader with a complete bibliography of her writings, as well as selected reviews and criticism. Following a biographical chapter on Toni Morrison's life, Kubitschek discusses Morrison's writing in the tradition not only of African American literature but of the great modernist and postmodernist American writers. Each of the following chapters examines an individual novel: The Bluest Eye (1970), Sula (1973), Song of Solomon (1977), Tar Baby (1981), Beloved (1987), Jazz (1992), and Paradise (1998). The discussion of each novel features sections on plot and character development, narrative structure, thematic issues, and an alternative critical approach from which to read the novel. Written specifically for high school and college students and general readers, this study illuminates and enriches the reading of Morrison's novels.

• Sales Rank: #2983172 in Books
• Published on: 1998-09-08
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.49" h x .83" w x 6.36" l, 1.20 pounds
• Binding: Hardcover
• 218 pages

Review
"This volume provides a clear, basic introduction to Morrison's work and analyses of her novels from The Bluest Eye (1970) to Paradise (1998). The writing is direct, without critical jargon or highly technical language, which makes it accessible to beginning students and general readers. Given Morrison's popularity, this will be a welcome addition to any public, school, or academic library collection."-ARBA

?This volume provides a clear, basic introduction to Morrison's work and analyses of her novels from The Bluest Eye (1970) to Paradise (1998). The writing is direct, without critical jargon or highly technical language, which makes it accessible to beginning students and general readers. Given Morrison's popularity, this will be a welcome addition to any public, school, or academic library collection.?-ARBA

About the Author

MISSY DEHN KUBITSCHEK is Professor of English, Afro-American Studies, and Women's Studies at Indiana University-Purdue University at Indianapolis. She is the author of Claiming the Heritage: African-American Women Novelists and History (1991).

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7 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
Here's a book of criticism we _all_ will wish we'd written!
By patrice.caldwell@enmu.edu
Missy Kubitschek's book does the impossible: she presents a thoughtful, educated, and appreciative reading of Morrison that makes these wonderful novels even more accessible than even good readers could imagine. For teachers who want to provide their students with a superb critical model, here it is. Look at the literate biographical first chapter. The "contexts" chapter moves smoothly and clearly through the critical whitewater of postmodernism, orality, and black identity. The chapters focusing on individual Morrison novels (even the daunting _Paradise_) illuminate Morrison's careful plot and characterization strategies. Best of all, each chapter showcases a particular critical strategy (formalist, historicist, archetypal, "Afro-modernist," etc.) as a lens through which to read the text. This is not only a brilliant teaching strategy, it's delightfully readable. I was surprised and moved all over again at the author's deft discussion of marigolds in _Bluest Eye_ and its subtle evocation of the Demeter/Persephone theme. It's the best discussion I've read of _Paradise_ and the chapter on _Sula_ brought that novel's power home to me years after my first reading of it. This is criticism at its very best.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By ml
It is perfect! This was great!

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• Sales Rank: #4711654 in Books
• Published on: 1935
• Binding: Hardcover

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